[Korea jeonghuiyun financial newspaper reporters FIG economic growth jakkuman tteoleojineunde coincident index and leading indicators have shown a steady rise goehyeonsang. Whereas in here a distinct recovery in exports due to the global demand recovery, 'decoupled' lock-in potential to the prolonged slump in domestic demand.
The reason for the phenomenon to improved sentiment about the future economic situation revealed to be due eongttunghagedo "nothing worse than today" is vague expectations.
▲ our economy is export hwakjangse the game while the game is cooled again ▲ exports, with domestic demand driving the positive scenario for recovery stood at the crossroads of the more negative scenarios deepening domestic recession valley came the diagnosis.
Hyundai Research Institute figured five days' exports - the start of the domestic decoupling: Recent economic trends and economic judgments (the first quarter of 2017, a report containing the information.
There followed a declining economic growth rate peaking in the second quarter of last year, followed by long-term economic gains coincident index of leading indicators recently, even linking the rise and economic growth natanatdago index mismatch researchers pointed out.
Since the second half of last year, while manufacturing has been going durable equipment investment recovery in consumption is added to the seriousness sluggish strong enough to be described as 'consumption cliff' private construction sector is also explored and deepen imbalances that hold up the value of construction investment.
Fortunately, in the sense that the recovery is strengthening while exports increased both export prices and export volumes this year, the researchers emphasize that our economy starts falling at a crossroads.
If exports do not close value to the economic expansion cooled again if both exports and domestic demand is concerned that the economy was in recession for removal to the turn of the worst phases.
He pointed out that the current slump in domestic demand causes should be clearly resolved. As long as the power to create jobs that overlap and increase household debt eda 20 people employment market instability that is only fixed in a story that essentially provided the breakthrough desperate.
Because the researchers emphasized that "exports and economic recovery rests only have to create a path that recognizes the unique opportunity to improve the economic situation can be turned vertically and export recovery may be spread to domestic demand."
More specifically prescribed by the ▲ to block the external uncertainties start from that seat export recovery trend ▲ investment and employment expansion ▲ finance early jiphaengryul improve and prevent domestic deflation through the social safety net strengthening ▲ corporate and household economic sentiment, etc. will be focused on stability It was presented.
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